Throughout the pandemic, there has been a general rule Corona virus diseaseRelated hospitalizations tend to rise after about two weeks of cases. That was about two weeks ago Los Angeles County has seen its first drastic jump in what has been a slow rise in daily cases, but fortunately no corresponding jump has materialized in hospitals.
On April 16, the number of daily new cases in the region rose to 1,510 from numbers that were in the 1,100 to 1,200 range the previous week. Since then, cases have increased by about 78% to 2,335 cases today. Given the two-week rule, hospital admissions should rise quickly.
But during the same period, the number of daily hospitalizations related to Covid rose by only 21 patients, from 228 to 249. This increase is nowhere near the corresponding jumps seen in previous increases. The hope is that hospitalizations will be ‘dissociated’ from case trends, which means that the two are no longer causally related as they once were.
It’s still only maintaining a two-week margin, so the next few days could still see the usual rally, but the fact that there hasn’t been a jump yet is a sign of hope.
Another hopeful indicator is the suspicion that the number of daily cases is significantly lower than the number of new infections. Many experts believe that due to the prevalence of home testing, there are many positives that are not counted. If there were more cases in the area, that would cause deltas to split infection from hospitalization more broadly.
“We’re definitely seeing an increase in cases that are fairly significant,” said Barbara Ferrer, director of public health for Los Angeles County. We’re starting to see a slight increase in hospital admissions. We have some things going on here. We’ve removed some safety protection measures, and we’ve also had our Spring Break and Spring Break. I hope this increase we are seeing will stabilize fairly soon without picking up too much.”
As for hospitalization, Ferrer is not yet ready to declare victory.
“The stable hospitalization rates reflect the typical delays we typically see as well as the protective effects of vaccination, boosters, therapies, and natural immunity that some people have acquired. [from previous infections]She said.
Ferrer says the wild card is the most transferable Bachelor 2.12.1 The variable that for the week ending April 9 made up 7% of the samples analyzed. This is up from 3% in the previous week. Considering that April 9th was almost two weeks ago, that share is sure to have gone up.
“You have to look at the data across the country,” Ferrer noted. East coast sees arise In hospitals, we don’t know enough about this new BA.2.12.1 alternative. So let’s continue to be careful. Let’s continue to prepare depending on what we learn and see.”